Does Primary Turnout Predict Fall Results?

A Washington Post writer, Aaron Blake, takes on the question here.

The blog is called “The Fix.”

I wonder if he has Illinois connections.

What he writes about our state follows:

“In Illinois, Republican turnout in the February 2010 primaries was 46 percent of the total vote in the governor primary and 45 percent of the vote in the modestly competitive Senate primary, even as both races had to compete with much higher-profile Democratic primaries.

“Comparatively, GOP turnout was just 35 percent of the primary vote in 2004, when President Obama won an open Senate seat, and 42 percent when former Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D) won his first term as governor in 2002.”

Dems point out that their primary still had more voters than the Republicans captured this year.


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