Obama Downturn in Suburbs Offers Hope to Republicans, At Least in Local and Legislative Contests

Fox News Chicago has commissioned We Ask America to poll President Barack Obama’s popularity in Illinois.

We Ask America, you may remember, is the only polling firm who called the Joe Walsh-Melissa Bean contest.  In fact, it was the only polling company whose results were ever published.

The results are below:

Here’s what We Ask America says about them:

NOTE: We Ask America was commissioned by Fox Chicago News to conduct this poll. The following is being published here with their permission.

For those of you who have just awoken from a long coma, here’s a newsflash: things aren’t going so well in America these days, and discontent continues to grow from sea to shining sea. Somewhere in the middle of those amber waves of anger lies Illinois, the home state of Barack Obama–the place where the president can always count on receiving a warm embrace and unquestioned loyal. Right?

Well…not as right as it used to be. We were commissioned by Fox Chicago News to ask Illinois residents whether of not they approved of the job the president was doing. We then asked a series of head-to-head questions pitting the president against Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Herman Cain and Chris Christie. You can view those results HERE. (Compare those results to how he was doing in Illinois in July HERE.)

Since Fox Chicago News published this earlier this afternoon, our phones have been ringing off the hook with questions. We’ll let our client provide their excellent analysis, but suffice it to say that we believe that the slippage is a blinding glimpse of the obvious: even his home state has a limited amount of patience. And remember that if the election for president were held today, Mr. Obama would SWAMP the opposition in the Land of Lincoln.

But these results are an indication that a loss in Illinois by Barack Obama has shifted from The Unthinkable to merely The Highly Unlikely.

The sticker that Jack Franks rolled out in 2010.

It seems to me that most significant finding for the local political arena is that
“in the five suburban collar counties surrounding Chicago (43 percent approved, 55 percent disapproved).

That means local Democrats will have to separate themselves from the President in order to win election (not likely, in my opinion) or re-election.

Except for his web site, Democrat State Rep. Jack Franks has separated himself so completely that the Democratic Party that only time people can tell that he is a Democrat is if they look at the party label next to his name on the fall ballot.

His fund raising pitch this fall was based on a Teddy Roosevelt theme, for instance.

This rotating masthead on Jack Franks' campaign web site is the only place I can find an indication that he is a Democrat.


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