Huge Undecideds in County Races, Trump Running First

About 50% of the voters are undecided on three county races polled last night by Victory Geek (an advertiser, as you can see to the left).

Less than 20%, however, have not made up their mind who they will support in the Republican Presidential contest.

Donald Trump is running first, but John Kaisich has moved into a strong second position.

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

The results for President follow:

  • 31% – Donald Trump
  • 24% – John Kaisich
  • 17% – Ted Cruz
  • 9% – Marco Rubio
  • 19% – Undecided

In all three of the county races polled, there are enough undecideds to swing the races to any candidate.

Efforts by supporters, the postal service, and telephone carriers could make the difference.

Patrick KenneallyIn only one race is there what could be characterized as a commanding lead.

That is in the contest for McHenry County State’s Attorney.

Patrick Kenneally leads by a 2-1 margin.

  • 35% – Patrick Kenneally
  • 16% – Dan Regna
  • 48% – Undecided
Joe Gottemoller

Joe Gottemoller

In the County Board race, Joe Gottemoller is leading by ten percentage points.

46% are still undecided.

  • 32% – Joe Gottemoller
  • 22% – Michael Walkup
  • 46% – Undecided

For McHenry County Recorder of Deeds, the results are more tightly clustered (within nine percentage points) , but 56% of the voters have not made up their minds.

    Joni Smith

    Joni Smith

  • 19% – Joni Smith
  • 14% – Joe Tirio
  • 10% – Tina Hill
  • 56% – Undecided

The margin of error 3.81% at a 95% confidence interval.

651 participated in the poll.

= = = = =
Methodology: A stratified sample was used which was derived from each gender, age, ethnicity, and geographic stratum of likely 2016 Republican primary voters in McHenry County. Stratum quotas were enforced to prevent subgroup overlap. The final results were extrapolated based on a 651 successfully completed poll respondents.


Comments

Huge Undecideds in County Races, Trump Running First — 11 Comments

  1. Gottemiller and Smith need to bail out on their support of Regna.

    Like rats on a sinking ship.

    The longer they support him the more their leads will continue to dwindle.

    There isn’t room for all three in his P.O. Box.

  2. Looks like Regna is DOA.

    Cant wait to hear from him in another decade.

  3. The undecided percentage is TOO HIGH this close to the election.

    Does that mean the for the poll really???

  4. My son was on Dan Regna’s Little Leauge baseball team and he was a complete idiot.

    He was constantly late for practices and even games with never a good excuse.

    He showed absolutely no leadership skills whatsoever and constantly seemed very much overwhelmed with the responsibilities of being a Little League manager.

    Trust me Dan Regna is not someone you want running the McHenry County State’s Attorney Office!!

  5. What was the methodology of this putative poll?

    Or sample size, for that matter?

  6. Methodology: A stratified sample was used which was derived from each gender, age, ethnicity, and geographic stratum of likely 2016 Republican primary voters in McHenry County.

    Stratum quotas were enforced to prevent subgroup overlap.

    The final results were extrapolated based on a 651 successfully completed poll respondents.

  7. Prediction. . . General election Trump wins 49 of 50 states.

    The only state he loses is Minnesota.

    If this were any other candidate for office, the press would have already declared Trump the winner of Republican nomination.

    The fact that the People’s Republic of Illinois is in “play” and that Trump won Michigan and New Hampshire along with the deep South tells all you need to know.

    It is time we have a successful business man at the helm of this nation.

    No more lawyers please!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *