And, the difference shown in the poll results with 374 people have replied is still within the margin of error.
Midday Wednesday results for the NYT survey of voters in the Peter Roskam-Sean Casten congressional race shows Roskam ahead by two percentage points.
There is much more information and analysis on the New York Times web page.
.
Who cares what the lying NYT says!
They said Trump would lose by 10%.
That newspaper has had problems in credibility in the past.
One thing is certain: No one questions the credibility and reliability of this shining sunshine blog and all sunshine commenters. Stay tuned…12 days…tic, tock, tic, tock, tic, tock…
I don’t have much faith in the poll.
1) The NYT is a very left wing, liberal publication.
2) How the question is asked can sway the results.
3) Who they polled can affect the results. Did they poll a) only registered voters, b) likely voters c) adults, registered or not, citizens or not, eligible to vote or not.
How can I trust a poll that:
a)polls people (not a single cat was polled)?
b)shows Sean Casten beating roskam?
Stay tuned…12 days…tic, tock, tic, tock, tic, tock, meeeeeooooooooowwwwwwwwwwwww…
538, which aggregates all of the major polls, puts this race as “tossup” with Roskam at 50.1 to Casten at 49.9.
It gives Hultrgen a narrow advantage (51 to 49) in CD 14.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/
Meanwhile, Hultgren pulled a “Franks” and failed to show for the WTTW debate with Underwood.
https://www.nwherald.com/2018/10/24/14th-congressional-district-candidate-underwood-attends-forum-alone/a145gao/
Roskam did show up for the same program with his opponent.
If only I could put Casten, Angel and Harpo Marx together in a bar, there would be no survivors.
**I don’t have much faith in the poll.**
LOL
**1) The NYT is a very left wing, liberal publication.**
What does that have to do with the poll? Specifics please.
**2) How the question is asked can sway the results.**
LOL – its not a push poll. its simple. They ask: “Which candidate are you supporting: Sean Casten or Peter Roskam?”
**3) Who they polled can affect the results. Did they poll a) only registered voters, b) likely voters c) adults, registered or not, citizens or not, eligible to vote or not.**
Sigh… these polls always only poll registered voters.
And if you actually read the site, they have different likely voter models that you can look at.
So, no, they don’t ask unregistered voters.
o, they don’t ask non-citizens.
Y’all’s paranoia is so amusing.
BTW – you can read about the methodology here:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/06/upshot/live-poll-explainer.html
Dj. You been sending packages, Dude? You are one tough guy.
It would have to be a gay bar to get Carsten there, DJ.
Note to self. Harpo Marx jokes don’t fly with Millenial Garbage Baby’s.