For those following the ongoing New York Times poll of the Peter Roskam-Sean Casten congressional race, here are the results before calling resumes on Thursday:
42,297 calls have been made.
Here’s some of the breakdowns:
Issues and other questions
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
|
APPROVE |
DISAPP. |
DON’T KNOW |
| Voters n = 425 |
41% |
53% |
6% |
Would you prefer Republicans to retain control of the House of Representatives or would you prefer Democrats to take control?
|
REPS. KEEP HOUSE |
DEMS. TAKE HOUSE |
DON’T KNOW |
| Voters n = 425 |
44% |
49% |
7% |
What different types of voters said
Voters nationwide are deeply divided along demographic lines. Our poll suggests divisions too. But don’t overinterpret these tables. Results among subgroups may not be representative or reliable. Be especially careful with groups with fewer than 100 respondents, shown here in stripes.
Gender
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| Female n = 217 / 52% of voters |
47% |
40% |
12% |
| Male 208 / 48% |
44% |
49% |
7% |
Age
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| 18 to 29 n = 55 / 10% of voters |
63% |
28% |
8% |
| 30 to 44 85 / 17% |
62% |
25% |
13% |
| 45 to 64 185 / 45% |
40% |
52% |
9% |
| 65 and older 100 / 28% |
41% |
50% |
10% |
Race
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| White n = 344 / 82% of voters |
46% |
47% |
7% |
| Nonwhite 61 / 13% |
62% |
25% |
14% |
Race and education
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| Nonwhite n = 61 / 13% of voters |
62% |
25% |
14% |
| White, college grad 232 / 51% |
47% |
47% |
7% |
| White, not college grad 112 / 32% |
44% |
48% |
8% |
Education
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| H.S. Grad. or Less n = 32 / 9% of voters |
62% |
26% |
12% |
| Some College Educ. 105 / 29% |
39% |
51% |
10% |
| 4-year College Grad. 151 / 37% |
42% |
50% |
8% |
| Post-grad. 126 / 23% |
57% |
36% |
7% |
Party
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| Democrat n = 129 / 27% of voters |
93% |
4% |
3% |
| Republican 113 / 30% |
5% |
90% |
5% |
| Independent 163 / 38% |
49% |
40% |
11% |
| Another party 10 / 2% |
37% |
34% |
29% |
Primary vote
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| Democratic n = 168 / 34% of voters |
83% |
9% |
7% |
| Republican 155 / 41% |
11% |
82% |
7% |
| Other 102 / 25% |
53% |
30% |
18% |
Intention of voting
|
DEM. |
REP. |
UND. |
| Already voted n = 59 / 15% of voters |
48% |
46% |
6% |
| Almost certain 241 / 60% |
49% |
44% |
7% |
| Very likely 88 / 21% |
37% |
51% |
12% |
| Somewhat likely 9 / 1% |
26% |
11% |
63% |
| Not very likely 8 / 1% |
49% |
— |
51% |
| Not at all likely 17 / 2% |
54% |
9% |
37% |
Sunshine blogger, could you please work a little bit with these numbers to make them look more like me? I mean, how about a 73% – 22%, 5% undecided roskam lead? That’s something I can live with. Stay tuned…tic, tock, tic, tock, tic, tock…