This article by Aaron Ginn is for you:
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After worldwide statistical comparisons, including the effect of latitude, temperature and humidity on infection rates, here are some of the conclusions Ginn draws:
So what should we do?
The first rule of medicine is to do no harm.
“Local governments and politicians are inflicting massive harm and disruption with little evidence to support their draconian edicts.
“Every local government is in a mimetic race to one-up each other in authoritarian city ordinances to show us who has more ‘abundance of caution’.
“Politicians are competing, not on more evidence or more COVID-19 cures but more caution.
“As unemployment rises and families feel unbearably burdened already, they feel pressure to ‘fix’ the situation they created with even more radical and ‘creative’ policy solutions.
“This only creates more problems and an even larger snowball effect. The first place to start is to stop killing the patient and focus on what works.
Start with basic hygiene
“COVID-19 is a significant medical threat that needs to be tackled, both finding a cure and limiting spread; however, some would argue that a country’s authoritarian response to COVID-19 helped stop the spread.
None of the countries the global health authorities admire for their approach issued ‘shelter-in-place’ orders, rather they used data, measurement,and promoted common sense self-hygiene...
“Does stopping air travel have a greater impact than closing all restaurants? Does closing schools reduce the infection rate by 10%? Not one policymaker has offered evidence of any of these approaches.
“Typically, the argument given is ‘out of an abundance of caution’.
“I didn’t know there was such a law.
“Let’s be frank, these acts are emotionally driven by fear, not evidence-based thinking in the process of destroying people’s lives overnight.
“While all of these decisions are made by elites isolated in their castles of power and ego, the shock is utterly devastating Main Street.
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Take a look at the Table of Contents of this comprehensive article:
Table of Contents
- Total cases are the wrong metric
- Time lapsing new cases gives us perspective
- On a per-capita basis, we shouldn’t be panicking
- COVID-19 is spreading
- Watch the Bell Curve
- A low probability of catching COVID-19
- Common transmission modes
- COVID-19 is likely to burn off in the summer
- Children and Teens aren’t at risk
- Strong, but unknown viral effect
- What about asymptomatic spread?
- 93% of people who think they are positive aren’t
- 1% of cases will be severe
- Declining fatality rate
- So what should we do?
- Start with basic hygiene
- More data
- Open schools
- Open up public spaces
- Support business and productivity
- People fear what the government will do, not infection
- Expand medical capacity
- Don’t let them forget it and vote