Millennial Esther Joy King surge in polls results in spending for attack ad
Back on October 20, McHenry County Blog published an article about an Independent Expenditure (IE) in the 14th congressional district race.
In comments, I responded when the IL-17 was brought up when a commenter brought up Cook Political Report’s published ratings changes in House races. The 17th had been adjusted in Republican challenger’s Esther Joy King’s favor from “Likely Democrat” to “Leans Democrat”:
“Since you brought up IL-17, let’s talk about the timing of that ratings change that was published early this morning (10/21) and events I’ve been tracking that lead up to the change.
“An internal poll’s executive summary leaked to the media showing Congresswoman Bustos leading Republican Esther Joy King by only 5 points on 10/13. By 10/14, Bustos has an attack ad up against King.
“By Thursday, 10/15, a 2nd poll from different pollster is released to the media showing Bustos up only 6 points.
“Just over a week, ratings change.”John Lopez comments 10/21/20
On Saturday, the Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF) super PAC launched an attack ad through an IE titled “Connections”:
The Federal Election Commission (FEC) filing of the IE Form 24 on Sunday afternoon revealed the total amount of the TV ad buy to be $433K in opposition to Bustos.
The FEC Pre-General Election reports for both Bustos and King this past Thursday included the following cash-on-hand amounts through October 14:
- Bustos: $1.7 million
- King: $53K
Since the 14th, King has raised at least $113K in contributions reported through FEC Form 6 filings. Small dollar contributions, if any, are not included in Form 6 filings.
The additional $433K IE draws the money totals for King over half million, either directly or indirectly through an IE.
Flipping the 17th would be quite a feat, given Bustos is the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) which makes her the number 6 Democrat in House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s leadership team.
King, an Army Reserve captain in the Judge Advocate General corps, practices civilian law in East Moline.
Illinois House races now have 3 districts with super PAC expenditures for TV advertising buys.
Should be an interesting final 8 days until Election Day in the 17th.