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McHenry County Blog

McHenry County Blog
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About Cal Skinner

About Cal Skinner

This is a journal of news and opinion designed to bring to light matters of public interest and to encourage public participation in the governmental process.

Emphasis will be on McHenry County, but Illinois state news will be covered. Articles and photos are copyrighted and may not be reproduced without explicit written permission.

About Cal Skinner

About Cal Skinner
Email Cal Skinner

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Category Archives: 538

538 Projections

Posted on 11/06/2018 by Cal SkinnerNovember 6, 2018
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National media love to cite the web site Five Thirty Eight. Today, 538 is projecting the Peter Roskam-Sean Casten as a toss-up. Since Friday, however, 538 has radically changed its prediction in the Randy Hultgren-Lauren Underwood contest. The popular vote … Continue reading →

Posted in 538, Lauren Underwood, Peter Roskam, Randy Hultgren, Sean Casten | 1 Reply

New York Times 538 Blogger Admits Joe Walsh Won

Posted on 11/30/2010 by Cal SkinnerNovember 6, 2018
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It’s almost a month after the November 2nd election and blogger Nate Silver has finally gotten around to writing about 8th District Republican Joe Walsh’s victory over three-term Democrat Melissa Bean. Silver, whose blog “Five Thirty Eight” projected odds of … Continue reading →

Posted in 538, Joe Walsh, Melissa Bean, Nate Silver | 1 Reply

Joe Walsh Comments on the Closeness of the Race

Posted on 11/09/2010 by Cal SkinnerNovember 9, 2010
Reply

An email from Joe Walsh: Friends: It’s been an amazing week. One week removed from election night, we remain absolutely confident in our victory — with virtually all of the absentee votes from Cook County in, our lead is 350 … Continue reading →

Posted in 538, 8th Congressional District, Joe Walsh, Melissa Bean, Nate Silver | Leave a reply

New York Times Gives Melissa Bean 89.9% Victory Odds

Posted on 11/01/2010 by Cal SkinnerNovember 1, 2010
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Who to believe? The WeAskAmerica poll of yesterday? Or New York Times 538 prognosticator Nate Silver? Or, we could wait until tomorrow and see how people vote. … Continue reading →

Posted in 538, 8th Congressional District, Joe Walsh, Melissa Bean, Nate Silver, New York Times, Poll, We Ask America | 4 Replies
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