National media love to cite the web site Five Thirty Eight. Today, 538 is projecting the Peter Roskam-Sean Casten as a toss-up. Since Friday, however, 538 has radically changed its prediction in the Randy Hultgren-Lauren Underwood contest. The popular vote … Continue reading
Category Archives: 538
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It’s almost a month after the November 2nd election and blogger Nate Silver has finally gotten around to writing about 8th District Republican Joe Walsh’s victory over three-term Democrat Melissa Bean. Silver, whose blog “Five Thirty Eight” projected odds of … Continue reading
An email from Joe Walsh: Friends: It’s been an amazing week. One week removed from election night, we remain absolutely confident in our victory — with virtually all of the absentee votes from Cook County in, our lead is 350 … Continue reading
Who to believe? The WeAskAmerica poll of yesterday? Or New York Times 538 prognosticator Nate Silver? Or, we could wait until tomorrow and see how people vote. … Continue reading