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We Ask America Puts Romney on Top in Both Arizona and Michigan

February 27, 2012 By: Cal Skinner Category: Arizona, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Poll, Rick Santorum, We Ask America

Here’s the email about yesterday’s polling from We Ask America:

Romney/Santorum

As America was gearing up to watch the Oscars, We Ask America was in the field in Michigan and Arizona asking likely Republican voters for the final time before Tuesday’s primaries asking voters for their choice for president. This time, we didn’t give participants an option to say they were undecided:

If the Primary Election for President were held today–and you HAD to make a choice–for whom would you vote?

Here’s what Michigan voters said:

Type: Automated – Date: 2/26//2012 – Responses: 984 Likely GOP voters – Margin of Error:± 3.12%

Gingrich Paul Romney Santorum
12.53% 18.08% 36.85% 32.53%

And here’s what Arizona voters had to say:

Type: Automated – Date: 2/26//2012 – Responses: 1,162 Likely GOP voters – Margin of Error:± 2.87%

Gingrich Paul Romney Santorum
20.65% 10.15% 42.66% 26.54%

It appears that Mitt Romney has Arizona tucked away…Michigan may be another story. While Romney has pulled out all the stops in his home state and seems poised for a come-from-behind victory, Rick Santorum has hung in against an onslaught of negative ads and a few gaffes of his own doing. If Santorum loses by a close margin, many will question Romney’s ability to close the ultimate deal after a less-than-stellar showing in the Wolverine State.

Of course, many of those saying that will be Santorum, Gingrich and Paul.

The Illegal Immigration Issue

August 09, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Arizona, Chinese, Ellis Island, Homeland Security, Ice, Illegal, illegal aliens, Illegal Immigrants, Justice Department, Massage Parlor, McHenry County Jail, McHenry County Sheriff, McHenry County Sheriff's Department, Mexico, Secure Communities, Undocumented

I have such mixed emotions on this issue.

Young Chinese political leaders are briefed on the Immigration and Customs floor of the McHenry County Jail.

On the one hand, I have seen the hope in the eyes of a late 20-something mother leading her children with husband bringing up the rear to a meeting in the First Methodist Church of Crystal Lake which I am sure she thought was about learning how to become an American citizen.

I have heard from McHenry County’s chief jailer how Chinese women buy their way to O’Hare Airport, where they and men who have arrived with the help of Chinese gangs, get taken into custody and bused to ICE detention floor of the McHenry County Jail.

Statue of Liberty

I don’t know how the Chinese women get out our jail, but he told me when they do they basically become sex slaves to pay off their debts, while the men work in Chinese restaurants. (You may remember the Chinese connection to the massage parlor arrests in Crystal Lake and Hampshire, which may or may not be of any relevance.)

On the other hand, I have heard the anger in the voices of children whose parents and grandparents had to enter the country through Ellis Island.

Talk about intensity!

When we visited the Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island this summer, I was amazed at the variety of languages. Maybe 50% were not speaking English.

The draw of freedom and opportunity in the United States clearly is alive, even vibrant.

We took a tour of the main building on Ellis Island. The big room on the second floor of the building where people who passed the “six second medical exam” coming up the steps was empty.

No wire cages where prospective residents waited to be called to the front of the room to stand before “inspectors” who would decide whether they could proceed with the immigration process or be sent back to their ship for deportation.

I tried to put myself in the place of those in later years who sat on benches (the cages having been removed at the repeated requests of reformers) for their names to be called.

Where hopeful immigrants sat in Ellis Island waiting for their names to be called.

How afraid of rejection people must have been.

But nothing above has brought me to this article.

It’s political consultants replying to questions from the National Journal about the impact of the Obama Administration’s court suit in Arizona.

Here’s the question:

On balance, do you think the Justice Department’s legal challenge to Arizona’s immigration law helps or hurts your party in the midterm elections?

103 Democratic Party consultants split

Helps 42%
Hurts 49%

Republicans?

Helps 94%
Hurts 4%

The comments (no identities attached) were interesting.

A Democrat who thinks it will help says,

  • “Will further cement Latinos to the Democratic Party — those opposed would most likely not vote Democratic anyhow.”

A couple who side with the majority of Democratic Party consultants comment,

  • “Good long term for Obama in 2012; horrible for those running in 2010.”
  • “The Democrats need to spend August talking about the economy and jobs; instead, now we have a month of talking about immigration.”

Republican comments:

  • “The DOJ lawsuit helps Republicans in the midterms, but it no doubt is hurtful long term. The longer Republicans stand behind a plan of ‘border security first,’ the further we move away from Hispanics.”
  • “The problem is what it means in the future. If Hispanics lock in for Democrats in the same percentages as African-Americans have done, Republicans could become the Whigs at the national level in the next decade.”
  • “Lawyers, from D.C., suing voters, on behalf of illegal immigrants — you can’t write this stuff [any better].”
  • “What Democrat in their right mind wants to debate illegal immigration in the last 90 days before November?”

Here’s who answered the National Journal’s questions:

National Journal Insiders

Democratic Political Insiders

Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Deb Callahan, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Stephanie Cutter, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Eric Eve, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Don Fowler, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Kam Kuwata, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bill Lynch, Bob Maloney, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Terry McAuliffe, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Scott Parven, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Bruce Reed, Mame Reiley, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Wendy Sherman, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Sarah Swisher, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, Bridgette Williams, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders

Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Charlie Crist, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Steve Duprey, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Mindy Fletcher, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Barry Jackson, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bruce Keough, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris Lacivita, Jim Lake, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Connie Partoyan, Dana Perino, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Tom Wilson, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, and Fred Wszolek.

Local thoughts tomorrow.

Federal Government’s Double Standard on Local Enforcement of Federal Immigration Laws

July 07, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Arizona, Barack Obama, Eric Holder, Federal Government, Illegal, illegal aliens, Illegal Immigrants, Immigrants, Immigration, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Keith Nygren, Marco Riz, McHenry County Sheriff, Rhode Island

The Chicago Sun-Times article on the Barack Obama Administration's suit against Arizona.

I’m not much into writing about national politics. I’ve only touched upon immigration enforcement by local officials when McHenry County Sheriff Keith Nygren joined other suburban sheriffs in agreeing to do so.

(See April 14, 2010 article entitled,

Nygren to Join Other Sheriffs in Arresting Aliens.”

Strangely, I didn’t see anything about that in the local Heralds or the edition of the Chicago Tribune delivered locally.)

A friend of McHenry County Blog send me this insightful column from the Boston Herald by Michael Graham:

Bad posture on amnesty
Funny how feds lean on Ariz., not R.I.

As you can see from the beginning of his piece, Graham comes at the subject from the point of view of enforcing immigration law:

“Attorney General Eric Holder finally filed that long-rumored lawsuit challenging Arizona’s new immigration law. In his opinion, only the federal government has the legal authority to ‘enforce’ (read ‘completely ignore’) border security. If the Obama administration were convinced that Arizona would treat illegal immigration the same way the feds do, they wouldn’t have bothered to sue.”

But what is interesting is not his viewpoint or extremely clever use of the English language. It’s his sharing what the State of Rhode Island police do that is, oh, so similar to what critics of the Arizona law fear.

Micheal Graham wrote this colum for the Boston Herald the day after the Feds announced their suit against Arizona's immigrant enforcement law.

In looking for just the right sentences to quote, I am reading through pungent criticism of President Barack Obama. I encourage you to read the whole column.

Later, he asks the trenchant question:

“Why pick on Arizona?…why isn’t he suing Providence instead of Phoenix? They’ve been doing local immigration enforcement for years now.”

Columnist Graham next cites rival paper Boston Globe and Democrat in explaining how the situation in Rhode Island resembles that feared in Arizona:

“As The Boston Globe-Democrat reported yesterday,

This is where Immigration and Customs Enforcement detainees spend their time in the McHenry Jail when they are not in their cells.

‘From Woonsocket to Westerly, the troopers patrolling the nation’s smallest state are reporting all illegal immigrants they encounter, even on routine stops such as speeding, to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.’

“Even liberal Providence, where politicians long opposed any local enforcement efforts, changed its policy in 2008 after the infamous Marco Riz case.

“Riz was the illegal immigrant arrested by Providence cops twice while under a federal deportation order but released both times. He was then charged with carjacking a woman in Warwick and raping her in Providence.

“Rhode Island cops now routinely contact ICE when they suspect they’ve come across an illegal immigrant. Since 2006, the number of contacts they’ve made to ICE’s Law Enforcement Support Center in Vermont has nearly doubled, the Globe reported. How is this significantly different than Arizona’s proposed law?”

Good question, wouldn’t you agree?

Lecturing on Ethical Behavior in Illinois – Part 1

June 22, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Arizona, Council on Governmental Ethics, Ethics, Jack Franks, Patti Blagojevich, Rod Blagojevich, Roland Burris, Saturday Night Live

Patti shouts at Rod Blagojevich on Saturday Night Live.

Most of us would start chuckling or laughing if someone told us a current Illinois politician was lecturing people about ethics.

Illinois is synonymous with corruption.  On average a Chicago alderman gets convicted about every year (literally).

So while there was widespread unemployment and a gnawing need for jobs in McHenry County and Illinois, what was one of our local legislators doing last December?

First, you should probably be thinking of a warmer climate, as it was December.

Burris gets the bum's rush out of the U.S. Capitol on Saturday Night Live.

Second, you probably have to think of something that by doing it, wouldn’t help Illinois.

Not with jobs, or anything.

Third you have to think in terms of hobnobbing with other politicians and government officials in an effort to promote oneself outside of Illinois.

You might think it’s part of a Comedy Central routine being an Illinois politician and lecturing on political ethics.

Or Saturday Night Live.   After all, Rod and Patti Blagojevich and Roland Burris have made that show.

The issue of the White House offering jobs directly and through Bill Clinton if candidates drop out of Senate campaigns made the national news.

Jack Franks

So while foreclosures are way too high in McHenry County and economic hardship and job loss is prevalent, State Rep. Jack Franks was giving a lecture on December 7, 2009 in Scottsdale, Arizona.

With rampant corruption in Illinois, Franks lectured the Council on Governmental Ethics Laws.

Okay, you can stop laughing now.

More tomorrow.