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Archive for the ‘Dan Seals’

Bean Votes Liberal, Liberal and Liberal and Daily Herald Endorses Her

October 17, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: 10th Congressional District, 14th Congressional District, 8th Congressional District, Bill Foster, Daily Herald, Dan Seals, Endorsement, Melissa Bean

Melissa Bean

This should be no surprise if you follow politics and know how liberal the Daily Herald’s current editors are.

But the rationalization for the Daily Herald endorsing Democrat Melissa Bean is a whopper. Here it is:

Bean “is unafraid to vote against the party line.”

I guess being a deciding vote for Obamacare to mess up our health care system and not offering a single compromise to attract a single Republican vote was what the Daily Herald was thinking of.

Or Bean’s spendaholic stimulus vote that was all Democrat.

Newspapers trying to keep failed liberal politicians in office is one of the reasons Illinois remains so corrupt.

Consistent with “Let’s keep Democrat Liberals in Office” the Daily Herald endorsed liberal Democrat Bill Foster.

As a practical matter the Daily Herald isn’t going to endorse a conservative for the U.S. House if they think he or she has a good chance to win.

Of course the Daily Herald also endorsed liberal Democrat Dan Seals for the U.S. House.

  • Bean - Liberal Democrat – Endorsed by Daily Herald
  • Foster – Liberal Democrat – Endorsed by Daily Herald
  • Seals – Liberal Democrat – Endorsed by Daily Herald

See any pattern?

I guess we are supposed to be thrown off their scent by the Daily Herald endorsing Republican Bill Brady for Governor.

Endorsing Captain Pudding Head was probably too embarrassing.

See also:


Daily Herald Tries to Cover Rear End on Joe Walsh

New York Times Statistician Sets Odds on Illinois Congressional Districts, Sees Two District Pickup for GOP

September 13, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: 10th Congressional District, 11th Congressional District, 14th Congressional District, 16th Congressional District, 17th Congressional District, 8th Congressional District, Adam Kinzinger, Bill Foster, Bill Scheurer, Bobby Schilling, Dan Seals, Debbie Halvorson, Don Manzullo, George Gaulrapp, Joe Walsh, Mark Kirk, Melissa Bean, Phil Hare, Randy Hultgren, Robert Dold

A photo of the New York Times interactive congressional district map.

Here’s a map with a link to all 435 congressional districts. Click on a district and you will see what odds statistician Nate Silver gives each candidate for victory.

Let’s look at those in Northern and Central Illinois.

McHenry County first.

Don Manzullo is giving a 100% chance of winning reelection over George Gaulrapp. The predicted result is 65% to 33%.

In the 8th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Melissa Bean is given a 96.6% of beating Republican Joe Walsh and Green Bill Scheurer. Silver thinks the vote will be 55% to 42%. Presumably, he thinks Scheurer will get 3%.

In the 14th District, which starts at the McHenry-Kane County line and goes south, Silver gives Randy Hultgren a 62.6% chance of unseating incumbent Democrat Bill Foster. The final percentages will be 50-48, according to his computer model.

In the North Shore district Mark Kirk is vacating to run for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Dan Seals has a 52.7% chance of winning. The vote total is projected to be 49% to 49%.

In the 17th District, south of Don Manzullo’s, one of the most gerrymandered in Illinois, Silver thinks incumbent Democrat Phil Hare has a 73,4% chance of victory. The vote total will be 52% for Hare to 43% for Bobby Schilling, his projections goes.

Republican challenger Adam Kinzinger is estimated to have an 87.5% chance of capturing the 11th District from incumbent Debbie Halvorson. The tally will be 53% to 45%, Silver projects.