McHenry County Blog


Archive for the ‘Poll’

Dan Proft Plays Name ID Games

February 01, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Dan Proft, Poll

I got a phone call from gubernatorial candidate Dan Proft tonight.

He said he was the “conservative” candidate and had called me to ask me to take part in a telephone town meeting. He was sorry he missed me and we’d do it some other time.

Only thing was, I answered the call on the second ring, and Proft had not called before.

Anyone but me find that an interesting technique to get one’s name before Republican voters the night before an election?

Deceptive, but interesting.

Rather like the call about the fake poll that came Friday night.

Friday Night Polling

January 31, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Andy McKenna, Illinois Election Research, Kirk Dillard, Poll

Something called Illinois Election Research called last night.

I’ve never heard of such a business and neither has Google.

They wanted to know who we were going to vote for.

My wife, who cannot abide such calls, but knows they interest me, handed me the phone.

The recorded caller read off

  • Kirk Dillard
  • Dan Proft
  • a third name
  • Andy McKenna
  • More names

I pressed one for McKenna and did whatever else was requested.

Anyone have any idea who paid for the survey?

Was it a voter identification call?

Or what?

Tribune-WGN Poll Shows Governors’ Races Tightening

January 22, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Adam Andrezejewski, Andy McKenna, Bill Brady, Bob Schillerstrom, Dan Hynes, Dan Proft, Eric Zorn, Governor, Jim Ryan, Kirk Dillard, Pat Quinn, Poll, Survey

Kirk Dillard

Andy McKenna

As I suggested after I got Mary Pat’s call on behalf of Andy McKenna earlier today, the race for the Republican nomination for governor has narrowed down to three candidates:

  • Andy McKenna – 19%
  • Jim Ryan – 18%
  • Kirk Dillard – 14%

The Tribune’s Eric Zorn is reporting the results seen above.

17% reported still being undecided.

Among those with less than 10%, here are the results:

  • Bill Brady – 9%
  • Adam Andrzejewski – 7%
  • Dan Proft – 6%

Bob Schillerstrom had 2%, but he dropped out in favor of Jim Ryan today.

In the Democratic Party primary, Zorn reports

  • Pat Quinn – 44%
  • Dan Hynes – 40%

As Zorn puts it,

Game on.

Mary Pat Calls to Tell Me the Race for Governor Between Jim Ryan, Kirk Dillard and Andy McKenna

January 22, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Andy McKenna, Govenror, Jim Ryan, Kirk Dillard, Poll, Robo-Call, Robo-Calls

Who?

Mary Pat.

Didn’t sound like the Mary Pat I know.

Turned out it was a robo-call in support of Andy McKenna for governor.

It talked about Jim Ryan’s having supported a $5.5 billion tax hike. I presume this was when he was on the board of the union-financed not-for-profit tax hike advocacy organization run by Ralph Matire.

Mary Pat told me how Kirk Dillard had raised taxes millions of dollars, presumably by being one of the three DuPage County defectors who supported the tripling of the RTA sales tax rate in the collar counties.

This quote was attributed to Dillard about some tax matter, but I didn’t catch which one:

“What’s the big deal?”

So, what’s the message of this little bit of campaigning.

First, it interrupted a call I was having with a Crystal Lake number on a different exchange.

Second, when talking to an acquaintance in southern Kane County, he had gotten the call, too.

Andy McKenna

Kirk Dillard

So, it’s probably going to Republicans throughout the suburbs.

But there’s something more importantly.

It signals that McKenna’s polling shows the governor’s race in the Republican primary has narrowed down to three people:

  • Kirk Dillard
  • Andy McKenna
  • Jim Ryan

In December, the Chicago Tribune poll said Ryan was leading by over 2-1, but still in the middle 20 percentage range.

So, if you think Jim Ryan can’t win in November and you want a Republican elected, the choice pretty much narrows down to McKenna or Dillard.

I had previously thought that Bill Brady might be one that  could catch up with Ryan, but this robo-call does not indicate that is the case.

GOP Gubernatorial Candidate Bob Schillerstrom Takes Poll

September 02, 2009 By: Cal Skinner Category: Andy McKenna, Bob Schillerstrom, DuPage County, Illinois Repubilcan State Convention, Poll, RTA Sales Tax, Survey Research

A pollster for Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Schillerstrom called yesterday afternoon.

Schillerstrom is DuPage County Board Chairman.

The pollster wanted to know if I would vote for Schillerstrom for governor.

I told her, “No.”

She didn’t ask why, but, if she had I had an answer.

I would have told her that I was really disturbed that he balanced his DuPage County budget by getting most of his county’s state senators to vote to triple my RTA sales tax.

The bill that eventually passed, after an amendment (allowing collar county board’s to use the quarter of a percent sales tax offer of free road money for collar county boards to be diverted to public safety purposes) was added.

That allowed Schillerstrom to forego an already-on-the ballot countywide referendum to raise sales taxes one-quarter of one percentage point for law enforcement to fill his budget hole. (Winnebago County passed such a referendum in 2002.)

Schillerstrom’s intervention was so egregious that he was taken to the wood shed by Illinois Republican Party Chairman Andy McKenna at the Decatur state convention last June.

That made Schillerstrom hopping mad.

It stung so much most DuPage County Republicans walked off the convention floor.

Later my wife and I got a letter from Schillerstrom about it.

Schillerstrom let his state senators take the heat.

He got “free money.”

How ironic that one of them, Kirk Dillard is also running for the Republican nomination for governor.

But, the pollster was onto her next question. No time for an explanation on my part.

She asked if I would be more likely to vote for Schillerstrom if I knew I knew he had lowered property taxes seven ten years in 10 years.

I told her, “Yes.”

Would I be more likely to vote for Schillerstrom if I knew he had cut $200 million in wasteful spending?

I told her, “Yes.”

The final question was whether I would be more likely to vote for Schillerstrom if I knew DuPage County had passed “comprehensive ethics reform.”

I told her, “Yes.”

Do you see television and radio ads coming out of this survey?

= = = = =
The photo of DuPage County Board Chairman Robert Schillerstrom comes from the Young Republican Candidates’ Bar-B-Que held in Barrington Saturday, August 11, 2009.

Polling for Governor Last Week

April 23, 2009 By: Cal Skinner Category: Bill Brady, Bob Schillerstrom, Dan Proft, Doug Whitley, Joe Birkett, Kirk Dillard, Political Poll, Poll, Ron Gidwitz, Survey Research, Tom Cross

April 14th, a pollster called one of McHenry County Blog’s friends in Algonquin.

Here’s my contact’s description of the phone call:

She said she was located in Asia and representing Western Wats. I tried to jot down her questions, not word for word, for you;

1. Will you vote in the Republican primary for IL governor?

2. Is IL heading in the wrong or right direction?

3. Approve or disapprove of the job state legislature is doing?

4. Who would you likely vote for governor? This was her list to choose from;

  • Joe Birkett
  • health care
  • Kirk Dillard
  • Bill Brady
  • Doug Whitley
  • Dan Proft
  • Tom Cross
  • Bob Schillerstrom
  • Ron Gidwitz

5. What issue(s) concern you or you think legislature should focus? She
quickly read off this list;

  • abortion
  • lowering taxes
  • reform and ethics
  • improving education
  • reducing crime
  • family values
  • wasteful state spending
  • Second Amendment rights
  • protecting the environment
  • creating jobs/improve state economy

6. Do you subscribe to cable or satellite TV?

7. Who is your provider?

8. How often do you watch:
MSNBC; daily, few times a week, once a month, etc.,
Fox News; daily, few times a week, once a month, etc.,
CNBC; daily, few times a week, once a month, etc.

9. Do you listen to the radio?
How often do you listen to Hannity?
Limbaugh?

10. What year were you born?

11. Are you Evangelical or born-again Christian?

12. Support or oppose abortion?

You can pretty well guess that the person paying for the survey research is listed among the names read.

If anyone else gets a political polling call, please make notes and let me share them with McHenry County Blog readers.

= = = = =
Seen on top are Joe Birkett on the left and Kirk Dillard to his left. Next comes Bill Brady. Under him is a photo of Ron Gidwitz. Dan Proft is to the left. Below him is Tom Cross.

How Are Republican Presidential Candidates Polling?

February 04, 2008 By: Cal Skinner Category: John McCain, Mike Huckebee, Mitt Romeny, Poll

Just in case you are interested, here are polls in the states with primary elections Tuesday.

Thanks for Respublica for pointing the way.

How Are Republican Presidential Candidates Polling?

February 04, 2008 By: Cal Skinner Category: John McCain, Mike Huckebee, Mitt Romeny, Poll

Just in case you are interested, here are polls in the states with primary elections Tuesday.

Thanks for Respublica for pointing the way.

Jim Krenz Releases Campaign Poll Results

January 11, 2008 By: Cal Skinner Category: 49th District, George Lindberg, Jack Franks, Jim Krenz, Mike Flannery, Poll, Tim Schmitz

49th district Republican state representative challenger Jim Krenz has released a poll that shows incumbent Tim Schmitz pretty much unknown in his legislative district.

The district covers much of northern Kane County, including Sun City and a large part of Carpentersville School District 300 and stretched down to St. Charles along the western side of Kane County.

It found two-thirds of Schmitz’ constituents had no opinion of him or had never heard of him.

But neither is Krenz well known. His poll shows 75% have no opinion of him or haven’t heard of him.

So, the race could almost be considered a “blank slate” race.

I wonder if that is unusual for a suburban Chicago district.

Springfield politics does not have the importance to Chicago-area voters that it does to voters elsewhere in Illinois.

Most Downstate legislators are well-known, because they appear on TV. No such luck for most Chicago state representatives and senators.

In fact, when you see your local state legislator on Chicago TV, you know he has made the big time. That’s precisely what I thought when I first saw Crystal Lake’s two-term State Representative George Lindberg on Chicago television for the first time. Lindberg went on to be elected Illinois’ first State Comptroller.

Using that criterion, the only suburban legislator to make the “big time” today is Democrat State Rep. Jack Franks.

The poll, by the way, was taken by Carbondale’s Communication Express. Here are the questions and detailed results.

Positive opinions were found among 23% of those called for Schmitz and 15% for Krenz. Negatives were 10% and 9%, respectively, for the two.

Probably trying to find out what role former U.S. House Speaker Denny Hastert could play if he endorsed Schmitz, the poll found 60% had a favorable viewpoint of the former congressman. 20% had negative feelings and 20% no opinion or had not heard of him.

Six issues were probed in the automate telephone poll, two in more depth than the rest:

  1. Discounted, in-state tuition rates for non-citizens [a law that Schmitz supported]. 84% opposed the idea; 10% favored it.
  2. Term limits. 69% supported term limits. [Schmitz is in his fifth term.]

In the last of six questions, people were asked to rank the importance of four more issues. Here’s how it came out:

  • 36% – Taxes
  • 29% – Immigration
  • 21% – Education reform
  • 14% – Ethics in government

Jim Krenz press release follows:

SCHMITZ LOW
APPROVAL RATING

CARPENTERSVILLE, IL January 9, 2008 A recent poll shows 49th State House incumbent, Tim Schmitz with only a 24% positive rating, and with 67% of the voters having no opinion or saying they have never heard of him.

Jim Krenz, candidate in the Republican primary for the 49th State House, states, “These numbers accurately reflect what voters have been venting as I have been walking this district since August 2007.

“Tim Schmitz is a career politician who has obviously stopped representing the people of this district and concentrated instead on keeping his job. You would not expect these numbers from an elected official in office 9 years, and in leadership.”

In another part of the survey, taxes and immigration were the issues voters feel is most important to Kane County.

Jim Krenz responded, “When Schmitz voted for State ID cards and college tuition breaks for non-citizens, he voted against the wishes of his constituents. But if he never calls them, writes them, or visits them, it is easy to see how he had no idea what was important to them.”

= = = = =
Jim Krenz is on the top left. State Rep. Tim Schmitz is on the upper left. The black and white head shot is of former State Comptroller, now Federal Judge George Lindberg, when he was state representative. Thanks to Leona Nelson for the photo. The large picture was taken at the Northwest Herald’s 2006 8th congressional district debate between Melissa Bean and Dave McSweeney. It shows State Rep. Jack Franks pitching a story about his bill to license contractors to panelist Mike Flannery, WBBM-TV’s political reporter, who was on the panel asking questions.

Jim Krenz Releases Campaign Poll Results

January 11, 2008 By: Cal Skinner Category: 49th District, George Lindberg, Jack Franks, Jim Krenz, Mike Flannery, Poll, Tim Schmitz

49th district Republican state representative challenger Jim Krenz has released a poll that shows incumbent Tim Schmitz pretty much unknown in his legislative district.

The district covers much of northern Kane County, including Sun City and a large part of Carpentersville School District 300 and stretched down to St. Charles along the western side of Kane County.

It found two-thirds of Schmitz’ constituents had no opinion of him or had never heard of him.

But neither is Krenz well known. His poll shows 75% have no opinion of him or haven’t heard of him.

So, the race could almost be considered a “blank slate” race.

I wonder if that is unusual for a suburban Chicago district.

Springfield politics does not have the importance to Chicago-area voters that it does to voters elsewhere in Illinois.

Most Downstate legislators are well-known, because they appear on TV. No such luck for most Chicago state representatives and senators.

In fact, when you see your local state legislator on Chicago TV, you know he has made the big time. That’s precisely what I thought when I first saw Crystal Lake’s two-term State Representative George Lindberg on Chicago television for the first time. Lindberg went on to be elected Illinois’ first State Comptroller.

Using that criterion, the only suburban legislator to make the “big time” today is Democrat State Rep. Jack Franks.

The poll, by the way, was taken by Carbondale’s Communication Express. Here are the questions and detailed results.

Positive opinions were found among 23% of those called for Schmitz and 15% for Krenz. Negatives were 10% and 9%, respectively, for the two.

Probably trying to find out what role former U.S. House Speaker Denny Hastert could play if he endorsed Schmitz, the poll found 60% had a favorable viewpoint of the former congressman. 20% had negative feelings and 20% no opinion or had not heard of him.

Six issues were probed in the automate telephone poll, two in more depth than the rest:

  1. Discounted, in-state tuition rates for non-citizens [a law that Schmitz supported]. 84% opposed the idea; 10% favored it.
  2. Term limits. 69% supported term limits. [Schmitz is in his fifth term.]

In the last of six questions, people were asked to rank the importance of four more issues. Here’s how it came out:

  • 36% – Taxes
  • 29% – Immigration
  • 21% – Education reform
  • 14% – Ethics in government

Jim Krenz press release follows:

SCHMITZ LOW
APPROVAL RATING

CARPENTERSVILLE, IL January 9, 2008 A recent poll shows 49th State House incumbent, Tim Schmitz with only a 24% positive rating, and with 67% of the voters having no opinion or saying they have never heard of him.

Jim Krenz, candidate in the Republican primary for the 49th State House, states, “These numbers accurately reflect what voters have been venting as I have been walking this district since August 2007.

“Tim Schmitz is a career politician who has obviously stopped representing the people of this district and concentrated instead on keeping his job. You would not expect these numbers from an elected official in office 9 years, and in leadership.”

In another part of the survey, taxes and immigration were the issues voters feel is most important to Kane County.

Jim Krenz responded, “When Schmitz voted for State ID cards and college tuition breaks for non-citizens, he voted against the wishes of his constituents. But if he never calls them, writes them, or visits them, it is easy to see how he had no idea what was important to them.”

= = = = =
Jim Krenz is on the top left. State Rep. Tim Schmitz is on the upper left. The black and white head shot is of former State Comptroller, now Federal Judge George Lindberg, when he was state representative. Thanks to Leona Nelson for the photo. The large picture was taken at the Northwest Herald’s 2006 8th congressional district debate between Melissa Bean and Dave McSweeney. It shows State Rep. Jack Franks pitching a story about his bill to license contractors to panelist Mike Flannery, WBBM-TV’s political reporter, who was on the panel asking questions.

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    This is a journal of news and opinion designed to bring to light matters of public interest and to encourage public participation in the governmental process.

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