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Archive for the ‘Telephone Survey’

Daily Herald Tries to Cover Rear End on Joe Walsh

October 16, 2010 By: Cal Skinner Category: Bill Scheurer, Crosstabs, Daily Herald, Joe Walsh, Melissa Bean, Poll, Survey, Survey Research, Telephone, Telephone Survey

The paper that has done everything it could to make sure that 8th District Congresswoman Melissa Bean gets re-elected is running a major article in Sunday’s.

The Daily Herald's web site headline on the article.

Melissa Bean

Joe Walsh

Lowering the risk of being on the wrong side is my guess.

The Daily Herald relentlessly publicized Republican challenger Joe Walsh’s financial woes with regard to a condo purchase gone bad, plus other stuff that I can’t remember.

The effort to make certain that liberal Melissa Bean had no significant opposition was so blatant that I thought at the time the paper should send Bean a statement estimating the value of its in-kind campaign contribution to her.

But now reporter Kimberly Pohl has been tasked to try to explain why Walsh is still in the race. It’s as if she had read my article explaining the New York Times blogger Nate Silver having lowered Bean’s odds of winning from 97.8% to 80.6%.

Results from the We Ask America phone poll. Click to enlarge.

This comes over two weeks after a very large (1,381–the largest I have ever seen in a congressional race–We Ask America telephone poll showed a 41% to 41% tie, with Green Party candidate Bill Scheurer getting 5%.

That, bizarrely, showed up in the Quincy Herald-Whig.

Strangely enough, the poll interviewed 56.1% woman and and 43.88% men.

This is what pollsters call "cross tabs."

Most neutral observers would suggest than overweights women. And since women were going for Bean 44% to 40% , maybe the survey really indicated that Walsh was ahead.

The article ends by summarizing University of Illinois at Springfield Professor Kent Redfield cautioning “that no Democrat in a potential swing district should feel safe, particularly with such strong anti-incumbent sentiment.”

Phone Survey about the Northwest Herald

August 05, 2009 By: Cal Skinner Category: Journalism School, Journalism Student, Missouri, Northwest Herald, Telephone Survey, University of Missouri School of Journalism

It wasn’t exactly the Northwest Herald calling, but there were no newspaper-specific questions about the Daily Herald, the NW Herald’s closest competitor.

Sponsored by the Suburban Newspapers of America Foundation and taken by University of Missouri School of Journalism students, the questioning took about a half an hour.

Considering that the Daily Herald was not mentioned, I suspect that the Northwest Herald used the foundation to disguise its identity as the beneficiary of and recipient of the results of the survey document.

The early part of the questionnaire wanted to know where I went to find national and international news, and other types of news. The Northwest Herald was on the list. The Daily Herald was not, but the Chicago Tribune and Sun-Times were options.

One of the most interesting, but most poorly worded questions was whether I would be happy or sad (I think other words were used) if all local newspapers stopped publishing.

I like newspapers. I’m a tactile kind of guy. I read four a day.

My wife can’t stand the black ink that sticks to light surfaces I touch, but that’s another matter and wasn’t in the questionnaire.

The question about newspapers going out of business could certainly have been more precise.

One newspaper could go out of business without them all going out of business. That’s the way free enterprise works.

One of the questions that amused me most was whether the Northwest Herald amused (maybe the word was “entertained”) me. There was a second element to the question. Pity the two elements were not separated. I could have given a more accurate answer.

Whether or not the questions were developed by the NW Herald, someone is interested in

  • what folks like me are going to buy in the next year,
  • what stores we have bought from in the last three and twelve months,
  • whether we would like internet want ads (sounds a bit like Craig’s List, which surely must have cut heavily into the newspaper busienss),
  • whether we would like to be able to access the contest of newspaper inserts,
  • stuff like that.
  • The student who called me is not planning on working on a newspaper, by the way.

    If you get selected to answer the questions, think of it as a learning experience. You will get to find out what those who manage newspapers are thinking about doing to survive.