New York Times Statistician Sets Odds on Illinois Congressional Districts, Sees Two District Pickup for GOP

Here’s a map with a link to all 435 congressional districts. Click on a district and you will see what odds statistician Nate Silver gives each candidate for victory. Let’s look at those in Northern and Central Illinois. McHenry County … Continue reading

Will County District in Play, GOP Candidate’s Internal Poll Shows

Thanks to Capitol Fax Blog for the link to Public Opinion Strategies memo describing its poll findings in the 11th district race between Democrat incumbent Debbie Halvorson and challenger Adam Kinzinger. 51%-40% for the Republican with the ratio getting better … Continue reading

Does NPR Poll Indicate Vulnerability for Melissa Bean?

National Public Radio reports on a 1,200 person poll taken in 70 U.S. House of Representative districts considered swing districts. Three from Illinois—Bill Foster’s, Debbie Halvorsen’s and Melissa Bean’s—were included. The results nationwide showed voters selecting Republicans over Democrats 49% … Continue reading

A Third Rail on Transit – Part 2

Yesterday, I held forth on how the Chicago Tribune’s bad, bad advice for more Republicans to vote for the RTA sales tax bill (Senate Bill 656) would further decimate suburban Republicans in the legislature. Today, I turn to the root … Continue reading

A Third Rail on Transit – Part 2

Yesterday, I held forth on how the Chicago Tribune’s bad, bad advice for more Republicans to vote for the RTA sales tax bill (Senate Bill 656) would further decimate suburban Republicans in the legislature. Today, I turn to the root … Continue reading