IL-03/IL-06/IL-14/IL-17: Four House Districts in IL Now on Target for Flipping in 2022

From the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) press release of 5/4/21:

NRCC Expands Offensive Map, Announces 10 New Targets Following Reapportionment

WASHINGTON – The NRCC expanded its initial 47-member offensive target list today adding ten additional Democrats who will be targeted ahead of the 2022 midterms.

The announcement comes after reapportionment data was released last week. All 10 new targets come from states that are losing a congressional seat.

“Republicans are on offense all across the country.

“Every House Democrat is facing an uphill battle having to defend their toxic socialist agenda that prioritizes trillion-dollar tax hikes on the middle class, opens our borders, closes our schools and defunds the police.”

Congressman Tom Emmer, chairman, NRCC 5/4/21


Marie Newman

The list of newly announced vulnerable Democrats is as follows:

CA-07 – Ami Bera
CA-16 – Jim Costa
CA-36 – Raul Ruiz
IL-03 – Marie Newman
MI-05 – Dan Kildee
NY-04 – Kathleen Rice
NY-20 – Paul Tonko
NY-25 – Joe Morelle
NY-26 – Brian Higgins
PA-06 – Chrissy Houlahan

Lauren Underwood at Woodstock’s Gay Pride Parade 2019.
Sean Casten

They join the NRCC’s original 47 vulnerable Democrats listed below:

NY-18 – Sean Patrick Maloney
AZ-01 – Tom O’Halleran
AZ-02 – Ann Kirkpatrick *
CA-03 – John Garamendi
CA-10 – Josh Harder
CA-45 – Katie Porter
CA-49 – Mike Levin
CT-05 – Jahana Hayes
FL-07 – Stephanie Murphy
FL-13 – Charlie Crist *
GA-06 – Lucy McBath
GA-07 – Carolyn Bourdeaux
IA-03 – Cindy Axne
IL-06 – Sean Casten
IL-14 – Lauren Underwood
IL-17 – Cheri Bustos *
KS-03 – Sharice Davids
ME-02 – Jared Golden

Elissa Slotkin

MI-08 – Elissa Slotkin
MI-11 – Haley Stevens
MN-02 – Angie Craig
MN-03 – Dean Phillips
NC-02 – Deborah Ross
NH-01 – Chris Pappas
NJ-03 – Andy Kim
NJ-05 – Josh Gottheimer
NJ-07 – Tom Malinowski
NJ-11 – Mikie Sherrill
NV-03 – Susie Lee
NV-04 – Steven Horsford
NY-03 – Tom Suozzi
NY-19 – Antonio Delgado
OH-13 – Tim Ryan *
OR-04 – Peter DeFazio
OR-05 – Kurt Schrader

Abigail Spanberger

PA-07 – Susan Wild
PA-08 – Matt Cartwright
PA-17 – Conor Lamb
TX-07 – Lizzie Fletcher
TX-15 – Vicente Gonzalez
TX-28 – Henry Cuellar
TX-32 – Colin Allred
TX-34 – Filemon Vela *
VA-02 – Elaine Luria
VA-07 – Abigail Spanberger
WA-08 – Kim Schrier
WI-03 – Ron Kind


Notes from John Lopez (*): The following notes on districts that will be open important including:

  • Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-02) is retiring, so open seat
  • Charlie Crist (FL-13) is running for governor of Florida so an open seat in state where Republicans control the remap and 2020 Republican nominee Anna Paulina Luna is running again in 2022
  • The IL-17 is now an open seat with last Friday’s announcement of Cheri Bustos’ retirement, and 2020 Republican nominee Esther Joy King has announced she’s pursuing the seat next year
  • Tim Ryan (OH-13) is likely running for the open Senate seat in Ohio next year, so another open seat in state where Republicans control the remap
  • Filemon Vela (TX-34) is retiring, in state where Republicans control the remap


IL-03/IL-06/IL-14/IL-17: Four House Districts in IL Now on Target for Flipping in 2022 — 8 Comments

  1. Lauren Underwood, who is reading this, get a hold of me again! 🙂

  2. Underwood featured in the a local ‘gay’ pride parade?

    Will Dan-Danielle Alyward be it’s Grand Marshall this year!

  3. Hi John. 🙂

    Maybe those four congressional districts can be flipped.

    Probably not, if the same 2018 candidates run again, the various Republican chairs do little or nothing and the precinct committeepeople aren’t that involved in the campaigns. ☹️

  4. ok I get 14 and 17 but 6?

    Quit drinking the Kool Aid.

    That district is blue and they’ll probably make it bluer.

    IL 3? LMAO are you kidding me dude?

    GOP needs to narrow this list down and get realistic.

    Seriously bro.

    Don’t spread your money out into 50 districts when you only have a chance of flipping half of them, just go HAM on the ones you have a good chance at.

    Put a concerted effort into ones you can win instead of dividing your money into districts you really have no chance of winning.

    That’s the strategy you need, not this pie in the sky garbage where you spread money around to more districts and lose ones that winnable.

    Marie Newman’s district…

    lmao get real, do these Republicans hear themselves?

    This kind of retarded garbage is why I won’t contribute money to the GOP.

    If I want to help a candidate I’ll just give them money directly.

    I can’t trust these moron GOPers because they will WASTE your money, telling you garbage like some Republican running in BALTIMORE has a chance.

    Get real bro.

  5. (I was not aiming the second person comments at you, John, but to Republican “strategists” and readers of this blog.)

    GOP only needs to flip like five seats.

    Obviously they want more, but my point stands.

    They should prioritize the races they have the best chance of winning.

    Some of these seem really farfetched.

    Newman won by like 13 or 14 points last time.

    I would not call that a tossup district.

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