What is one to think when an Illinois gubernatorial candidate feels he must publish a video like this after first entering the race and raising $10.8 million prior to his formal campaign launch?
Answering Sullivan’s message, something I wouldn’t do is use corn to explain my residency, and I don’t mean the kernels that were counted at the Illinois State Fair last month.
But here is the more sobering message to Sullivan’s rivals. When launching this campaign, Sullivan’s team issued a press package, which included this slide that should chill all of his Republican primary rivals, particularly the major candidates like Darren Bailey, Gary Rabine and Paul Schimpf to the bone:
Note, Sullivan believes the minimal amount of money he needs to win the Republican nomination is $15 million, and while he had commitments for $5 million, he received over twice the originally committed amount.
Translation, over 9 months out from the primary, Sullivan has raised over 2/3 the amount he says he needs to win prior to his campaign’s launch. $10.8 million raised will do that for you.
Next campaign disclosure reports are due for the 3rd Quarter to the Illinois State Board of Elections on October 15, and will any of the Republicans be able to match Sullivan’s millions?
But the news isn’t all that good for Sullivan.
Tomorrow’s California Recall election of Governor Gavin Newsom is expected to fail, if all of the latest polling is to be believed.
Governor Newsom was the state’s lieutenant governor during Sullivan’s time earning his MBA at Stanford in Silicon Valley. Prior to being governor lite, Newsom was mayor of San Francisco, where Sullivan’s rivals are painting him to be really from, in spite of the video issued above.
If the Newsom recall fails tomorrow as expected, some might start asking what did Sullivan, and his business and educational ties, do to help recall Newsom?
Might be a good question to ask all the Republican candidates running for governor.
But an even more important question, given several keys to Newsom’s political comeback has to do with all of the issues the Republican candidates are trying to use against IL Governor JB Pritzker, a Newsom win tomorrow could be a portend of the governor’s race next year in Illinois, especially when one compares the tens of millions of dollars Newsom and his allies have spent to defeat the recall.
If Illinois voters come out in support of mask and vaccine mandates as voters have done in California, what will be left to run against Governor Pritzker next year, given the policies the Democratic supermajority in Sacramento are similar to the ones the Democratic supermajority in Springfield has implemented.
Something else, besides Sullivan’s business headquarters, Illinoisans need to think about should Newsom survive tomorrow’s recall.