Two congressional distrists foisted on McHenry County voters have Democrats beyond the normal retirement age of 65.
Bill Foster, 67 next month, is being challenged by Catalina Lauf, 29.
In Algonquin Township, Jan Shakowsky, 78, is being challenged by Max Reit, 30.
The daily email Morning Brew puts age and Congress in perspective today:
“The US is a young country, but Congress is old—and getting older.
“About 25% of its lawmakers are over 70 and the average age in Congress keeps climbing, according to Insider.
“An average of 10% of Congress was under 40 from 1950 until 1990, but since 2000 it’s only been around 4%.”
I only ask when these old billy goat’s finally get put out, their required to wear ankle monitors, so I can track them.
That is a picture of Max RICE from last night in downtown Crystal Lake at his event at the Old Town Hall. He will have another event next week also at Old Town Hall. This coming Wednesday at 7:00. Extraordinary great food complimentary in a gorgeous venue. And Max sleighs it with funny but hard truths about where we are with the corrupt leadership foisted on us and what we can do to change it. Basically help remove the corrupt long term politicians, hold them accountable so it does not happen again, enact term limits, and reverse or repair all the broken left wing policies taht are ruining the country. Thx Cal for coming and let’s help Max take our county, state, and country back.
A 25 year old won a primary for congress in NH.
Will Foster still be alive by January?
Take a good look at him.
And then look at Fetterman’s neck. Yikes!
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2022/09/12/what-is-that-on-john-fettermans-neck-n626320
Low T millennial cuck
Rice ran unopposed in the primary.
That district is considered “safe” for Democrats.
The same applies to Severino in the the 10th: he ran unopposed in the Republican primary and the district votes Democratic.
Schakowsky should be in prison.
Like her crooked husband was.
https://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2016/10/schakowskys-check-kiting-husband-behind-trump-rally-violence-undercover-video-reveals.html
Another Israel firster and white hater.
Typical communist jew.
Well done, Correcting, concerning 9th and 10th districts. The Democrat incumbents will win, and only question, will they get over the 60% supermajority of votes November 8.
I’m still standing by my prediction Congressman Foster wins 11th District with 55% of the vote.
That’s not supermajority or safe Democrat rating, but it’s still a comfortable majority.
It’s mid September, and Lauf is not on TV, and according to Lauf on September 1, Foster pulled out of all debates/candidate forums & joint appearances with her.
Translation, Foster leading by at least 20 points in his/Democrat internal polls and he doesn’t need to appear with Lauf let alone engage in debate.
I saw Foster digital commercial on YouTube last night.
Nothing from Lauf.
Someone said Lauf has a digital ad on Google, but I haven’t seen it.
And to date, Cal hasn’t shared any mailers from Lauf.
By contrast, IL-17, Republican Esther Joy King’s 2nd TV commercial is running.
Both IL-06 Republican Keith Pekau and IL-13 Republican Regan Deering launched their first TV commercials this week.
IL-06 Congressman Sean Casten genuinely concerned with Pekau that he’s been calling-him out by name for over a month, and trying to make hay with Pekau over the Downers Grove cancelled drag bingo.
And remember, Casten didn’t appear with Speaker Pelosi when she was in Chicago raising money for Foster, Lauren Underwood, and Democrat nominees Nikki Budzinski (IL-13) and Eric Sorensen (IL-17) earlier this summer.
Lauf, along with IL-14 Scott Gryder, nothing.
Great points John and Really –
You should know Max has scheduled 2 debates with Comrade Jan.
One on Oct 3 and one which is a forum later in October.
Also the 9th district is not the same as before. It is a new district and includes much of McHenry now. We see a 10% red swing in the 9th due to the gerrymandering.
Clearly the Dems and Pritzker thought it was safe to take the Dems from the 9th and distribute to the neighboring districts.
But rumors have it that JB and Comrade Jan do not get along. They ran against each other in JBs first race for this same seat where JB lost. So maybe there are sour grapes? Who knows?
But the point is Max has a real chance to win. The numbers in the primary voting also confirmed that with Max getting approx double the votes of all predecessors and Comrade Jan got half the votes as normal.
Anyway, lots going on. Prepare to be shocked. Get involved. He can use the help.
Mr. Foster will crush Lauf – more likely 60-70%.
Lauf has no $ for political purposes, though that’s just as well.
It wouldn’t matter.
Lauf is a bubblehead who only knows how to spout off right wing rhetoric, right wing talking points, right wing nonsense, right wing garbage, right wing bull####, right wing, well, you get the idea.
Personal appearances are not within the Lauf catalogue, and even on those rare occasions, she always arrives late, leaves early, and is rarely, if ever, where people expect her to be.
Media ads of any type will not help — but then, who really cares?
After Lauf is thumped by Mr. Foster, she will simply target another district — the 14th and 11th didn’t work — why not try the 10th? Or the 13th? doesn’t matter. A district is a district is a district.
If Lauf had any sense, she would move to Colorado and challenge that imbecile Boebert.
Now that would be interesting, or at least somewhat entertaining from a lampoon standpoint.
Newsflash Mr. Lopez — Evita Peron died a long time ago.
And she isn’t coming back.
more to follow in future comments….
BTW. To drill into why Max has a real chance.
Cook and others put the IL 9th as swinging 10% more red due to the gerrymandering.
IMO we will see a 10% – 20% red wave due to crime, inflation, border, schools, recession, attack on freedom…
And in spite of the distraction attempts of attacking Trump and abortion along with bribes of free money for students with loans. Some of that may even backfire.
So there is a possibility the 9th swings 20% – 30% without Max doing anything?
However he is making lots of efforts. He has a ground game and a bunch of events all over the district as well as a SM staff member pushing videos and trying to get attention.
That plus a few tricks up his sleeve and he could shock the world with an upset win against a evil communist democrat as a part of a red wave.
**We see a 10% red swing in the 9th due to the gerrymandering. …But the point is Max has a real chance to win.**
Schakowsky won by 40 points last cycle. So your “10% red swing” would mean she’d still have a 30-point advantage. Even if we use your 20% swing number, she’d still have a 20-point advantage.
Lesco, do uou want to win?
Simply request Gov. Abbott to kindly deliver 2 busloads each.
To those liberal ball sniffing City Halls in Kenilworth, Glenview, Wilmette and Winnetka and that whole District will go running to pull the lever for Max.
Guaranteed!
Nefarious –
In the last election against Sargis Comrade jan won 71% – 29%. So the number we are using as a baseline one gap to make up is 30%.
We know and like Sargis well but we can say that Max will likely out work Sargis by a large margin in terms of meetings, door knocking, social media, ground game, large events, volunteer staff efforts, phone canvassing…
So the math is pretty simple.
10% more red from gerrymandering.
15% more red from red wave
= 25%
Gap to fill is 31% = 6% deficit.
Let’s not debate the math as it is inexact for sure.
However Max and his campaign are taking the race more serious than the last 10 candidates. Perhaps that is due to the gerrymandering and red wave which the last 10 candidates did not have the advantage of. So what is hard work on all fronts to get more votes worth? If it is 7% Max beats Comrade Jan.
There are also a couple major things he will be dropping soon to get some national and local attention. No guarantees. But the campaign is optimistic. She will not know what hit her when these things happen and it should be alot of fun.
If you know any media outlets please have them call the campaign or Max. It is a work in progress and we would like as much media to get on board as the news will be fantastic and of interest to media consumers.
I see I goofed on the math. 71 – 29 = 42…
But the overall point is the same. 10 for gerrymandering, 10 – 20 for red wave, and the rest from working hard. But the nice thing is Max gets a 20% – 30% boost without changing any minds or getting new folks to vote. That is quite incredible. And leaves the deficit to be made up as a reasonable number.
Plus wait till you see what he has in store for her. It could be epic.
Yea, definitely goofed the math.
But, also, literally no one thinks that there is going to be a 10-20% swing because of the red wave anymore.
Max isn’t getting a magical 20-30% boost.
And I’ll believe the epic when I see it.
Let’s try this again. Posted comments, which appeared, then suddenly disappeared.
Merely wanted to point out the joke that is Lauf’s candidacy.
Also to inform Mr. Lopez that Evita Peron is no longer with us.
And no matter how much he wishes that were not true, Catalina Lauf is not the answer.
She isn’t even the question.
(we’ll see how this one works out)
^he’s going to tell a joke about jan in his standup comedy routine, shake.
people will laugh at jan’s expense. it’s going to be epic!
you’ll see! you’ll see!!!
I understand being cynical. The 9th district has been Democrat for over 40 years.
However this is NOT the same 9th district. It has been newly gerrymandered and has shed some blue areas and gained red areas.
Jan beat JB 22 years ago in her first 9th district congress win. Perhaps JB hates her and did her no favors with the district redraw. See the Dem primary when they ran against each other for more color.
Max received approx double the primary vote and Jan received half the primary vote in 22 years.
What is the new more red district worth? What does the primary vote signify in terms of turnout in the general? What is a red wave worth with the Safety Act on the horizon? Does Max have anything up his sleeve or do you expect him just to do nothing or tell some jokes?
All of those questions can be answered with it adds up to a defeat of Comrade Jan and a Max win.
New content on Youtube for Max (Darren Bailey too)
Please like and follow videos.
There will be at least one new video daily from now until the election.
Maybe Max does have something up his sleeve.
Follow and sign up on his site to get updates.
https://youtube.com/shorts/TfOVNPXv7qU?feature=share
FWIW…
Trump (’20) lost the new 9th by 41 points
Rauner lost the new 9th by 35 points
Erika Harold lost the new 9th by 35 points
Senger lost the new 9th by 45 points
Trump (’16) lost the new 9th by 42 points
Kirk lost the new 9th by 30 points
Munger only lost by 16 points in ’16 though, so you got that going for you.
Imagine looking at these numbers and thinking, “Yea, JB really screwed Schakowsky.”
Also, primary vote totals, 2022:
Schakowsky: 76,956
Max: 22,751
Imagine looking at these numbers and thinking, “Wow, these primary vote totals are really promising!”
And that was BEFORE the Dobbs decision, which undeniably has motivated female voters, and not in your direction.
Snake – Not sure if you are kidding around. But you are completely wrong.
The new 9th is new for this election in Nov 2022. Surely you know that. Before the 9th was significantly different. For example the old 9th before this year did not have McHenry in it. I am sorry if you did not know that. But it is a fact.
SO all that you say above about previous elections are the OLD 9th which was significantly more blue than it is now. So comparing previous votes to 2022 is apples to oranges.
Ill show you howe off you are on primary votes in the next post.
9th primary vote totals, 2022:
Schakowsky: 76,956
)R)Max: 22,751
9th primary vote total, 2020
Schakowsky: 127,467
(R)Sangari: 11,808
9th primary vote total , 2018
Schakowsky: 108,417
(R)Ellison. 10,476
You can go back 22 years which is as long as Schakowsky has been in office and see that as I said Max received approximately double the primary votes as the Republican nominee.
And
Schakowsky received approximately half the votes that she had received over 22 tears.
It is nice to see you hating on Max. That is fine. But don’t lie about the facts.
This is the first election in the 9th district with new boundaries and a undeniable greater red population. So what was said before about previous elections is simply fake news.
Further the fake news or narrative about the primary vote was also creative fake news as the numbers show. I dont have a quick way to do it. But I wonder if there is another congressional district in the country with primary numbers that swung to as great of a degree as the 9th in the entire country?
**Not sure if you are kidding around. But you are completely wrong. The new 9th is new for this election in Nov 2022. Surely you know that.**
LOL – I’m literally looking at data for the NEW Congressional district. But feel free to share your data if you believe mine is wrong.
I’ll help you out though – you can look at the actual past election results, by newly drawn Congressional district, right here:
https://twitter.com/ILElectionData/status/1453884048519143433/photo/1
**It is nice to see you hating on Max. That is fine. But don’t lie about the facts.**
I’ve lied about nothing. I’ve shared specific facts, including that Jan got 3 times the number of votes in the primary AND the past election results (based on precinct data) in the newly drawn district.
As for primary results, using 2020 numbers is silly, because that was a Presidential year. In 2018 there was a competitive Gubernatorial primary on the Dem side and this year there was nothing that was that high profile.
You’re excited that Max got 1/3 of the votes that Jan got in the primary. Good for you, and good luck.
Nefarious –
Are you trying to lie and spin on purpose? Or are you really not able to do the math?
Either way the data is there.
Max received approx double or 100% MORE primary votes than in the past 2 decades. 10 elections in both presidential and midterm elections.
Comrade Jan received approx half or 50% LESS primary votes than in the past 2 decades. 10 elections in both presidential and midterm elections.
This is what change looks like.
**Are you trying to lie and spin on purpose? Or are you really not able to do the math?**
LOL – we’ve already established that it was YOU who messed up the math, but let’s take a look at this.
First, I note that you completely ignored the ACTUAL past election results data, after accusing me of lying about said data. And now somehow only want to talk about primary results. I’ll take that as a concession.
Second, you are correct that Max got more primary votes than past Congressional GOP candidates in CD9, and Jan got fewer than in recent previous years. I never said otherwise, so I am not sure how you providing that data means I am lying. What I *did* say was that, despite the fact that there was little attempt at Dem gotv in the primary, Jan STILL got 3 times the number of votes that Max got in the primary. And you’re happy about that. But you are the one trying to spin getting 1/3 of the votes as his opponent as somehow a great thing.
**Comrade Jan received approx half or 50% LESS primary votes than in the past 2 decades. 10 elections in both presidential and midterm elections.**
Now you’re just making things up. I’d like to know how 77k is half of 108k (which is what Jan got in 2018). Or, how 77k is half of the 32k dem votes in the 2014 primary or half of the 52K dem votes in the 2012 primary.
By the way… 2014 is a great example of why primary results are not something you want to hang your hat on. Jan got 31,576 votes in the Dem primary. The two GOP candidates got a combined 29,723. WOH! Jan may be in trouble, right? Yet Jan won the General Election with 66% of the vote. And that was when the primary votes were close to even in the primary, not 3:1 for Jan.
Again, you’re welcome to view the primary results as good news for Max. That’s obviously your prerogative. And I’m welcome to point out that you’re a) making things up, and b) happy about the fact that Jan got 3x more votes than Max did in this year’s primary.
BTW. If you bother to do the math. The differential between the primary and the general for bot candidates can be seen clearly over 22 years,
It is true the old 9th district had been blue for decades. But even using the old blue 9th date you can see that the difference between the primary and general for both parties adds votes and or percentages to the primary votes. If that differential average remains the same Max will win.
Of course now that for the first time the 9th is more red with different geographies oe could assume that the R will get a bigger differential and the blue a smaller differential than before. Just as the primary itself demonstrates.
But either way if the percentages hold true from the primary to teh general Max will win easily. Call it gerrymandering backfire or a giant red wave. But that is why so many are calling this election one to watch and Max is seeing support that far exceeds the past decades.
But of course all this punditry does not matter. Nov will tel the tale.
**if the percentages hold true from the primary to teh general Max will win easily.**
How do you say this with a straight face?
It doesn’t even make sense. Jan got 3 times the number of votes as Max did in the primary.
And you continue to talk about how much more red the district got, yet you use no data to show this.
I’ve shown you ACTUAL data from past elections.
You’re blatantly ignoring actual data because you don’t like what it tells you.
You and I are agreeing on the data for primary vs general.
Comrade Jan received 3x more votes in the primary than Max.
In previous primaries the differential was even greater. There are 11 elections over 22 years. So let’s not cherry pick. Rather better to take averages. There are many reasons each election is different between gubernatorial races and or presidential races…
But we can use your way of looking at the primary vote and dismiss the relevance of Max receiving approx DOUBLE the votes as usual and Comrade Jan getting HALF of usual.
I was showing that you can extrapolate the difference between the 9th primary votes vs general votes over the 11 cycles.
You imply take the D and R primary vote totals and compare them. Then do the same comparison for the general election.
If you then apply that same differential to the 2022 primary vote totals Max wins. You may not like the science involved or agree that a primary election is related to the general, but it is all the data we have to go on. And it is worth looking at.
It stands to reason that if in generals Comrade J wins by 35% in the past 22 years but wins those same primaries over the R by 80%. Then this time based on 2022 primary numbers Max will beat her.
I realize this is not exact science. Just pointing out the significance of 22 years worth of data vs this recent primary which changed dramatically from the past. AND this change in primary votes also occurred in ’22 which is the first election in a newly drawn 9th district that all sources agree has skewed more Republican. Plus let’s not forget the red wave taht is sweeping the country.
**So let’s not cherry pick.**
You made a claim that was demonstrably false, and then complain that I’m cherry-picking? Got it.
**Max receiving approx DOUBLE the votes as usual and Comrade Jan getting HALF of usual.**
Again, this is just not true. In fact, I don’t think that there is one primary election where Jan got twice what she got this year, and multiple years where she got less than this year.
**It stands to reason that if in generals Comrade J wins by 35% in the past 22 years but wins those same primaries over the R by 80%. Then this time based on 2022 primary numbers Max will beat her.**
Yea… that is REALLY not how the math works, and not how primary turnout relates to general election turnout.
**a newly drawn 9th district that all sources agree has skewed more Republican.**
Again, I’ve shared the actual data for the new 9th. You continue to ignore that data for some reason.
**Plus let’s not forget the red wave taht is sweeping the country.**
The vast majority of experts believe that the “red wave that is sweeping the country” is no longer, as has been seen in multiple elections over the past few months. There could very well be a red splash, but it isn’t likely going to be any kind of big wave.