Russ Stewart’s Analysis of the Chicago Mayoral Primary

From long-time political analyst Russ Stewart:

“…the mayor’s race produced two breakouts – Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson. In 2019 the ‘Four White Guys’ (Daley, Vallas, Joyce, McCarthy) running got a cumulative 166,413 votes, or 29.1 percent. It was déjà vu all over on Feb. 28. Vallas, the only White candidate, got 184,526 votes, or 33 percent. Johnson, running as an unabashed Leftist progressive and CTU cheerleader got Amara Enyia’s 44,580 2019 vote and slashed into Lightfoot’s 2019 North Side and North Lakeshore White base. Johnson got 120,612 votes, or 21.6 percent. The 60-70 thousand Lightfoot lost she picked up in the Black wards, particularly the West Side, from among Toni Preckwinkle’s  89,343 2019 base.

Chicago primary election results for Mayor as of 3-7-23.

“Outlook: If turnout is around 540,000 on April 4, Vallas needs to pick up slightly less than 100,000 to win, primarily from Southwest Side Mexican-Americans, while Johnson needs about 150,000 more, primarily from the 122,602 who backed Lightfoot and the other Black candidates. Johnson has no racial base, so he will have to play The Race Card to create one. The trades unions, who would have backed Lightfoot or Garcia in a runoff, will now come in heavy for Vallas.  Johnson is the one opponent Vallas can beat.”


Comments

Russ Stewart’s Analysis of the Chicago Mayoral Primary — 14 Comments

  1. The left is so brainwashed – you can show them a real video and they’ll say it’s a lie. J6 was an insurrection.

    We need to go back to a corrupt white guy running a corrupt city. That’ll cure the problem. The lesser of 2 evils approach is playing out.

  2. Does anyone know what likely turnout for a runoff would be compared to the turnout for the first shot?

  3. Chuy ran the dumbest campaign.

    I go for Brandon to hasten the crash

  4. May as well give another white guy a shot instead of a CTU puppet named Brandon be [s]elected.

  5. The black Brandon is another Beetlejuice and Mary Anne Ahern needs to shove her bell up her ass. She is giving Brandon more time and follow ups than Valas.

  6. Black Brandon just pushed the real estate transfer tax to push equity and raise revenue. That’s on top of the 5% the realtor takes. Liberals know no bounds.

  7. Brandon wants a head tax. The trolls will need a fully electric vehicle to keep going to the city to provide their services

  8. “The trades unions, who would have backed Lightfoot or Garcia in a runoff, will now come in heavy for Vallas.”

    I’m not so sure about that (some might decline endorsing), but if/when it happens I hope you post updates.

  9. Vallas is a fraud.

    I hope Brandon wins (through the cheat).

    The collapse of Chiraq will be so much quicker.

  10. Ah, yes, Russ Stewart. The same guy that said Willie Wilson would win the first round. 🤣🤣

    I’m sure we should trust his analysis for the runoff.

  11. Neither is going to fix anything.

    You hear these dummies talking about they’re going to hire more cops and they’re going to give teachers raises and they’re going to solve homelessness and then say they’re not raising taxes on the average person.

    What a bunch of retarded liars.

    What person actually believes this crap?

  12. I don’t know where the 100K votes for Vallas are supposed to come from.

    Lightfoot won the black areas handily and I would think those votes would all go to Johnson.

    Then if Chuy endorses him, a big chunk of the Hispanic votes also, especially the Little Village Mexican voters.

    Former liberal Alderman Marty Oberman thinks the turnout will be similar or slightly higher for the run off.

    If Johnson wins it will mark the follow through on the promise of Harold Washinton, which was cut short by his death from too many cheeseburgers.

    It will be interesting to watch.

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