Portend of things to come for 2022, especially in Illinois for both Governor JB Pritzker and Congressman Adam Kinzinger?
The polls for the last 2-3 weeks were right.
California Governor Gavin Newsom cruised to a big win as California voters rejected the recall by a 2-1 margin.
It was over early and it wasn’t even close.
In spite of high profile gaffes and foibles over the past year and a half, Governor Newsom surged from a statistical tie nearly two months ago in most polling to a big win, making me wonder if Illinois, very similar to California in Leftist policies plus a supermajority of Democrats in Springfield, will have similar results not only on November 8 of next year, but at the June 28 primary elections.
Yes, Newsom won in California and yes, anti recall efforts, including Newsom’s campaign organization spent over $70 million not only in TV advertising but to mask-up and get-out-the-vote.
And not only did the recall fizzle, so did the hopes of all the aspiring candidates wanting to replace Newsom had the recall been approved.
Given California’s significant use of vote-by-mail, the final count will not be known for 2-3 weeks, but the outcome won’t change, even if the margin narrows a little.
What will the overwhelming rejection of the recall mean for the 2022 elections, not only in California, but nationally, especially in Illinois where Governor Pritzker embraced most of Newsom’s policies to fight the pandemic, in spite of his own foibles like Newsom’s infamous French Laundry.
Lots of parallels. What do you all think? Let us know in comments.
UPDATEd returns from California Target Book: