Illinois Review had comments under an article by former State Senator Mark Rhoads Saturday suggesting that Metro East Congressman John Shimkus (R) would be put in the same district with Democrat Jerry Costello.
Commenter “The Oncoming Storm” disagrees with emphasis on the two congressional districts covering McHenry County.
The scenario I believe will be in motion will be to target Congressman Don Manzullo of the 16th district. Manzullo won his 10th term last month and is the dean among Republican House members from Illinois.
I see the Democrats drawing Walsh’s new district to combine him with Congressman Manzullo, which will quickly force the retirement question on Manzullo, who will complete his 20th year of congressional service in 2012. [Walsh did speak to a Tea Party function in Rockford, which is way out of his 8th congressional district.]
If Manzullo decides not to retire, then Manzullo and Walsh fight for the Republican nomination in the primary. If Manzullo retires, then Walsh will be nominee.
Enter State Representative Jack Franks (D, Marengo) into the congressional race in 2012 against Walsh. Franks has won 7 terms as state representative in northern and western “Republican” McHenry County, is a proven fundraiser in state campaigns, was one of the most vocal Democratic critics throughout Governor Blagojevich’s tenure, and has consistently brought state funding into projects across McHenry County.Combine the new Walsh district with the McHenry County, Boone County, and heavily union Rockford/Winnebago area with the Cook County, heavily minority populations of Elgin, as well as Aurora and Carpentersville in Kane County, and you have a Democratic fertile congressional district for Franks to unseat Walsh.
Phil Collins added this:
The most conservative Illinois congressman is Manzullo, so the Democrats will probably give parts of his district to the districts of Walsh, Hultgren, and Schilling.
Manzullo would probably retire, and Democrats will think that they would defeat at least two of those other three Republicans, since all of them will be in their first terms.
There is also another comment from Pete Speer which perceptively addresses the Lake County part of Walsh’s district.