Here are the findings from a poll taken by Emerson College:

Irvin leads Bailey among those with a college or postgraduate degree 30% to 17%, while Bailey leads Irvin among those without a college degree 23% to 18%,” the college reports.

Continuing, “Irvin holds a significant lead over Bailey in the urban and city areas of the state, 32% to 10%, whereas Bailey nearly doubles Irvin’s support in the rural areas, 30% to 16%. Suburban voters are more split: 25% support Irvin and 20% support Bailey.

“A majority, 57%, of Republican primary voters say they are more likely to support a candidate if former President Donald Trump supports them.”

All candidates for the U.S. Senate Republican nomination poll at less than 10%:

• 7% Peggy Hubbard
• 6% Bobby Piton
• 5% Kathy Salvi

72% are undecided.

Concerning abortion

• A plurality, 40%, say it should be legal only in cases of rape, incest, and when the woman’s life is endangered,
• 18% say it should be illegal in all cases,
• 15% said it should be legal up to 20 weeks,
• 15% say it should be legal in all cases, and
• 13% say it should be legal up to six weeks of pregnancy.

Methodology:

“The Emerson College Polling Illinois poll of Republican primary voters was conducted May 6-8, 2022. The Republican primary sample consisted of somewhat and very likely voters, n=1,000, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, education, race, and region based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, ethnicity, and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using a cellphone sample of SMS-to-web, an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, and an online panel provided by Amazon MTurk.”